Hilo España: política

droblo

Administrator
<div class="storify"><iframe src="//storify.com/_combarro_/epa-ii-trimestre-de-2015/embed?border=false" width="100%" height="750" frameborder="no" allowtransparency="true"></iframe><script src="//storify.com/_combarro_/epa-ii-trimestre-de-2015.js?border=false"></script><noscript>[<a href="//storify.com/_combarro_/epa-ii-trimestre-de-2015" target="_blank">View the story "EPA II trimestre de 2015" on Storify</a>]</noscript></div>
 

droblo

Administrator
Resumen presupuestos de esta legislatura
 

Pasaba por aqui

Well-Known Member
El 'Financial Times', sobre España: "Más trabajadores con contratos precarios"



New world of work: political cost of Spain’s recovery


Tobias Buck in Madrid







Price of economic revival is more workers on precarious contracts
©EPAEven those in traditionally secure professions such as teaching have found themselves on short-term contracts

When Ana Martín gets in touch with one of her clients these days, she usually has good and bad news. The good news is that there is a job offer. The bad news is pretty much everything that comes next.
Ms Martín works at a job placement centre in Villaverde, a low-income district in the south of Madrid. Before the crisis, many of its residents found steady work on building sites and other sectors that benefited from Spain’s decade-long construction boom. But that kind of work disappeared years ago. What is on offer now are jobs that Ms Martín passes on with a heavy heart.
“You just cannot make a living with some of these contracts,” she says. Every single vacancy is for temporary jobs that will come to an end after three months, a month or even a week. Most are for part-time work only, with monthly pay of as little as €285. “We are seeing a fundamental change: People here used to work to live. Now they work to subsist,” says Jesús Díaz, a job mediator who works in the same office.
FT Series

New World of Work

As Europe’s post-crisis workers live through huge labour market upheaval, FT reporters look at what this means for young people, businesses and economies

Over the past two years, Spain has won international admiration for turning around its once-shaky economy. At the height of the crisis, Madrid pushed through unpopular austerity measures and painful economic reforms, including a sweeping overhaul of the labour market.
Wage costs fell and exports boomed, allowing the rest of the economy to recover as well.
Employers and business leaders said reform helped companies regain competitiveness lost during the boom years. Spain is now on course to grow by more than 3 per cent this year, twice as fast as Germany, and jobless numbers are falling at last.
The price of that recovery, however, is a notable rise in the number of workers who labour in precarious conditions.
The share of workers in temporary employment, which fell in the downturn partly because of their vulnerability, is still lower than before the crisis but is on the rise again.
In July, the Spanish unemployment roll dropped by 74,000, the best July since 1998. But of the 1.8 million labour contracts that were signed during the month, only 6.9 per cent of the contracts were for permanent positions. Despite the reforms, Spain’s two-tier labour market remains entrenched.
With a general election looming later this year, this is set to emerge as a key political battleground. While the government is trumpeting the sharp decline in unemployment, opposition parties are hammering away at the fate of the working poor.

This could be one reason why the government of Mariano Rajoy is struggling in the polls, says Pablo Simon, a professor of political science at Madrid’s Carlos III University. “The important thing for elections is not economic growth, but the perception of economic growth. And if there is a lot of inequality, then the way people perceive a recovery will also be unequal.”
According to official data, one in eight Spanish workers — or 2.28m in absolute numbers — earns only the minimum salary or less. Before the crisis, the number of workers bringing home such little pay was just one in 12. Salaries have dropped across the board, but especially so for those forced to move into the temporary sector: according to a recent study by Fedea, the economics think-tank, a worker who used to have a permanent contract and now works on a temporary basis will on average earn 48 per cent less than before.

“The working poor are a reality in Spain now,” says Marcel Jansen, a professor of economy at Madrid’s Autónoma University.
Spain is creating plenty of jobs — about 1.4m contracts are signed every month — but only a tiny fraction of these are for stable, open-ended positions. In June, for example, nearly one out of four new contracts lasted a week or less. In 2007, the year before the property bubble burst, it was one in six. Over the same period of time, the average duration of all contracts fell from 78 to 52 days.
Once the preserve of low-skilled seasonal workers in sectors such as tourism and farming, temporary contracts have now become commonplace, even in middle-class professions such as teaching. Last year, for example, more than 174,000 teachers lost their jobs between May and August, only to be rehired once the new school year was under way. By October, the overall number was almost exactly back to where it was before the summer.
“Companies and employers are shifting the risks they face on to their workers — and to the state itself,” says Prof Jansen. “There is now a culture of precariousness in the minds of employers — they have simply gotten used to it.”

The trend towards precarious work may improve the bottom line in the short term. For the economy as a whole, however, the constant churn of workers on short-term contracts makes little sense, argues José Ignacio Conde-Ruiz, a professor of economy. “Where is the incentive for a company to invest in its human capital? They know they will fire their workers after maximum two years anyway. So behind all this is also the issue of productivity.”
For the unemployed in Villaverde, the immediate challenge is to find a steady job with a decent salary. But, as Mr Díaz points out, the harsh new demands placed on workers go beyond pay and working hours. Some restaurants, for example, now demand that waiters bring their own uniforms. Whatever the conditions, all vacancies are ultimately filled. “We have millions of unemployed in Spain,” remarks Mr Díaz. “There is always someone who says Yes.”
 
Última edición:

Johngo

Well-Known Member
¿Quién posee la deuda pública española?

Según los datos publicados por la Secretaría General del Tesoro, el 53,09% de la deuda pública española está en manos de no residentes. Los bancos controlan el 25%. Los inversores particulares un 0,77%.

La deuda bruta del Estado en circulación es a julio de 860.033 millones de euros. Vida media de 6,63 años. Coste medio del 3,24%. Las emisiones de este año han tenido un coste medio del 0,9% frente al 1,52% de 2014.

Grecia y España, ¿son muy diferentes?, ¿se parecen en algo?, ¿tienen algún punto en común o cualquier semejanza es pura coincidencia?

Observen los tres gráficos que siguen (Elaboración propia a partir de Datosmacro). El primero recoge la evolución de la deuda pública de ambos países desde 1995 hasta el año pasado: diferencias abismales entre las dos economías. El segundo muestra que la griega es una economía desequilibrada en la que le deuda pública per cápita se ha desconectado del valor que cada griego es capaz de generar en términos medios. El tercero muestra la misma evolución para España y se aprecia que, desgraciadamente, la deuda pública per cápita se está aproximando inexorablemente a lo que cada residente en es capaz de generar, en términos medios, en un año.







Pienso que la de Grecia es una economía inviable en sus actuales parámetros, pero la española se ha comido todo lo que generó en años pasados. (¿Tendrá que ver la forma en que lo generó?).

Santiago Niño-Becerra. Catedrático de Estructura Económica. IQS School of Management. Universidad Ramon Llull.
 

droblo

Administrator
 Las ventas minoristas avanzaron un +4,1% en julio, muy por encima de lo
que estaba previsto (+2,7% yoy).
 Todas las categorías respaldaron el buen comportamiento de las ventas
minoristas: equipamiento para el hogar (electrodomésticos) avanzaron un
+8,2% (vs. +2,8% anterior) y las de equipo personal, es decir, ropa,
avanzaron un +4,7% (vs. +1,6%). Alimentación (+1,6%) y otros bienes
(+2,5%) también mejoraron los registros previos.
 En cuanto a las ventas por tipo de distribución, se observó también mejora
generalizada: grandes cadenas (+5,6% vs. +4,3% anterior), pequeñas cadenas
(+2,0% vs. +0,3% yoy previo) y empresas de único local (+2,7%
vs. +1,0% yoy previo). Las grandes superficies prácticamente mantuvieron
el importante ritmo de crecimiento previo (+4,5% vs. +4,8% anterior).
 El avance del consumo de los hogares publicado ayer por el INE alcanzó el
+3,5% yoy (+1,0% qoq) en 2T15. Las cifras de confianza y de ventas minoristas
de comienzos del 3T15 sugieren que el gasto de los hogares seguiría
creciendo a un fuerte ritmo, lo que vendría respaldado por el adelanto
de la bajada de impuestos prevista inicialmente para 2016, un menor
precio del petróleo y unas condiciones de financiación y de empleo más favorables.
 Acaba de publicarse también el IPC adelantado de agosto: aquí no ha
habido tan buenas noticias ya que que se sitúa de nuevo en terreno negativo
(-0,4% yoy vs. -0,1% esperado y vs. +0,1% en julio).
 

droblo

Administrator
<div class="storify"><iframe src="//storify.com/JavierGEc/evolucion-de-la-demanda-en-el-pib/embed?border=false" width="100%" height="750" frameborder="no" allowtransparency="true"></iframe><script src="//storify.com/JavierGEc/evolucion-de-la-demanda-en-el-pib.js?border=false"></script><noscript>[<a href="//storify.com/JavierGEc/evolucion-de-la-demanda-en-el-pib" target="_blank">View the story "Evolución de la demanda en el PIB" on Storify</a>]</noscript></div>
 
Arriba