The week in markets

A point before the "billet": we are witnessing historic days in the markets, had never seen a crisis so strong, so comprehensive and so many implications. Attempt to synthesize the most but there is little that has passed over these days that is not important. Other weeks will have to be released in two lines but this September, I repeat, is historic.

Despite the loss in value of $ in these sessions it is true that the current crisis is global but has had some American players. U.S. authorities have tried everything (to intervene, not to intervene, allowing the press to move rates, not lower rates even if it was an outcry as this week and even lead to desperate measures almost daily ...) but the laws of the market have been stronger and The financial world is very hurt. There is no longer trusted, what else is that AIG receives money from the EDF if no customer is going to dare to open an insurance policy with them? Who is going to conclude guaranteed a fund-in theory as safe as its name indicates, following the bankruptcy of Lehman? And the bank fees are reduced (fewer mortgages to developers and individuals, less trading, less investment ...) and liabilities should prevail because most lack the liquidity ... And so all financial institutions in the world and, apparently, for quite some time. If it joins with a single asset that have been built derivative products that move in the markets several times the volume of such assets, few investment banks can survive.

This mistrust will not only reduce profits and even lead to more bankruptcies, also reduced consumer confidence (which will be heavily involved in the conduct of certain expenses as the most expensive car and housing) with what the real economy will worse still, as if it did not have enough problems already. It is a crisis to which he was not see a near end: without the financial support of banking, with a state that increasingly entering less and so many families into debt with the real economy is heading into recession. Many wonder where is the money they earned during all these years of boom and is a good question but it is also true that much of that profit was "a revaluation." That is, a bank or an individual, or a manager, who possessed property values and a stock portfolio at the end of last year and has not broken any position you now have an easy 30% less than they had. And is that the old adage that no stock is won until it is sold should be applied to many accounts ...

With this background the minimum securities seem a logical conclusion, a simple story and despite the recent rises it would be logical that the gold and silver prices rise much more like a good value shelter (now the slogan is to preserve capital, and even with gold may be losing money is clearly no break) and that crude oil continue to fall by the economic downturn that all this implies. The markets are very volatile and everything can happen as we are seeing almost daily, and there will be rebounds as indeed has already occurred this week but we can not expect pleasant surprises in the upcoming season of publication of company results or macro data except perhaps in inflation. Both are badly this as the way forward.

Finally, for those still invested in the stock exchange, two details:

Before going into details, we come to a summary of the press.


Indices (from Thursday to Saturday) on Monday marked the annual minimum Ibex and the Dax in Europe and the USA in SP500, on Tuesday, all indexes that framework in this table without exception, on Wednesday, again all except Japan on Thursday and all of new.

Indexes Sem. Ant. Last. wk. Var. Sem. Var. Annual Min. 2008 Max. 2008 Dif-act min Dif max-act.
DOW

11,433

11,018

-3.63

-17.56

10,461

13,279

5.32

-17.03

SP

1249

1204

-3.60

-18.54

1133

1471

6.27

-18.15

NAS

2258

2199

-2.61

-17.76

2070

2661

6.23

-17.36

BRAZ

50,898

48,061

-5.57

-24.48

45,294

72,766

6.11

-33.95

€ STOK50

3222

3000

-6.89

-31.90

2978

4411

0.74

-31.99

FTSE

5318

4880

-8.24

-24.64

4860

6534

0.41

-25.31

DAX

6178

5863

-5.10

-27.32

5812

8100

0.88

-27.62

IBEX

11,136

10,631

-4.53

-29.98

10,571

15,186

0.57

-29.99

NIKKEI

12,102

11,489

-5.07

-24.94

11,301

15,156

1.66

-24.20

SHANGHAI

2078

1895

-8.81

-63.98

1802

5522

5.16

-65.68

Some opinions:

Data for reflection.

The macro data of the week. Apart from the credit crisis has been some macro data to highlight the reassuring CPI American or low industrial production, while I keep building homes in the U.S., which fell to its lowest level in 17 years and building permits (barometer for predicting the future) a minimum of 26 years. We are all aware that the current outbreak of the bubble in U.S. real estate began.

We can not forget that this whole credit crisis came by the passion of some engineers of mounting financial businesses to increase profits and one of the most common (there have been many, it is not surprising that investment banks are much more than the commercial most affected by the problems) was to collect the mortgages, securitized, with the complicity of irresponsible analysis of a house give them a rating and sell, the buyer and resell to turn around and create a financial mirage based on the financial possibilities of certain families to able to pay their housing. When house prices fell below its value or valuation of the mortgage left to pay the entities that had provisions for their mortgage portfolios with liquidity and ... well, the ball was going up and we all know how it is developing. It is therefore vital that house prices slow their fall, Greenspan said that not long ago there were signs that we were on the floor. I searched among some of the most prestigious and analysts forecast I have found almost unanimous and that is reflected in these figures compiled by John Mauldin, the first sale of houses and the second of its price:

If met, and if Spain take on what it took in getting downhill, we would be talking about that is not going to be a reasonable pace of sales of homes up to 2011-2012 and there will be no increases in the price of housing up to a year later. I do not think such a complex problem can be analyzed as simply, we need to see many more factors (interest rates, rising unemployment etc.). But there is data. And look at the positive side, everything suggests that the worst-at least in-USA has gone according to these tests.

Schematic summary of the week.

Friday.

The hope for a solution to the problem of Lehman led hikes in Europe, most notable in the Ibex, but few moves to closing in USA (where he was beginning to crumble AIG, -24% to the closing) despite a couple of good macro data

Monday.

Despite some rebounds motivated by an oil well below $ 100 and the rumors about possible coordinated decreases in rates, the market considered that all actions of the EDF had been few and weighed as a slab of bankruptcy and Lehman New collapse of AIG. The Ibex was the one who most fell in Europe (-4.5%) but was even worse and eventually plummeted to the USA are closing above the 4.5%.

Tuesday.

Crash Asian, European good behavior during the morning plunge before opening another bearish USA to be the FTSE English (exceeding the breadth -4%) of the worst behavior but, thanks to rumors of a takeover of AIG who placed in a positive light USA, the closure was less dramatic European stressing the positive Ibex. Although the recurrence rate after USA fell again ended with a closing price increases in excess of 1% due to rumors of AIG rescue again, excessive oversold and the unexpected good results from Morgan Stanley

Wednesday.

On Wednesday, it was confirmed that the FED it sees enough business viability to AIG to provide 85 billion U.S. dollars in exchange for 80%, avoid bankruptcy and can expect moving forward. China was not fooled by the hikes, but Japan and Europe in the first hour and later when the collapse of HBOS was solved with a purchase from Lloyd's. The return to the harsh reality brought another disastrous U.S. housing data, falls for the new candidate for bankruptcy (this time is Morgan Stanley despite their good results) and the concern about the future of AIG as it was speculated that with no would be sufficient liquidity of the EDF. USA opened at around -2%, recovered somewhat, the SEC increased to all the shares traded prohibition on the sale of shares not owned ... but the credit crisis and further weighed the market down again to be the FTSE English -6% almost the hardest hit in Europe and USA tried several rebounds while the Dow marked its lowest close in nearly 3 years and the SP500 and the Nasdaq plunged nearly 5%. Spectacular rebound of gold and silver and to a lesser extent oil. Actors negative: -25% Morgan Stanley and AIG (despite being the EDF its majority shareholder, who was going to say) -46%.

Thursday.

On Thursday, new collapse Asia (China came to fall more than 6%) while it was far from closed minimal, and open up Europe in minimum annual though soon came back thanks to the merger negotiations between Wachovia and Morgan Stanley and, However, by concerted action by several central banks to inject liquidity into the system. Were reached maximum payout of around 2% to be phased out and when it seemed to be back negative on the wrong data in weekly unemployment, an opening above the USA +1% maintained the positive tone and in Europe as there was reached + 2% and new bassist turn up new annual minimum. The excuse was the sharp drop in new Morgan Stanley (at the worst time came to fall 46%): Europe had moderate losses, USA came down to 2% and at a very rapid and violent be turned around, again the positive, hesitated in the area and shot up to maximum a day, and exceeded that caused shorter closures at the speed of the movement that came to graze the +5%. The excuse was that it was reported on CNBC that the U.S. government would create a kind of macroentidad covering all possible entities that break, something that I did in the 80s when several savings banks went into crisis. The expiry of futures and options Friday I do not think it has been, either, unrelated to the magnitude of this movement and it is highly suspect that this has been leaked on a day out for so many investment portfolios ... From the stress of +53% Wachovia rising and that he became almost 65%.

Written by Droblo the Sept. 19, 2008 with 288 points.
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# 1, Mano H20

September 19, 2008, at 9:32.

Hello everyone

On the controversy of whether or interventionism is not appropriate to end the crisis.

I support my children learn from their mistakes. I try not to interfere in its decisions but not stop watch. I warn that they are going to get screwed up and let them, because they learn from it. I leave you play and even squabble within limits.

But Be assured that if I see any of them will fall through a window from great heights, skip to secure it and if necessary I play my life to save them. All this without hesitation or a moment. And I do not think that the latter comes into contradiction with the former.

I say this because at the back end of not understanding why people criticize both the U.S. government intervention in this whole mess economic-financial-political.

What breaks the theory of market economy? What bankruptcy purest principles of liberalism? I do not think so. Neither am I so sure.
A special situations, special solutions. A desperate, desperate solutions.

And eye, because I understand perfectly well that this seems to make good the theme of "capitalizing on the benefits and socialize the losses," manifestly unfair idea.

But if no measures are taken that are probably going to take, the market may fall through the window and stamped righteous and sinners. The hard asphalt near the end of the fall is called recession-depression. And from that experience the Americans know for a while, because the print is in the collective memory, just as we have the issue of civil war (which it does not even go to movies, Garzon and others, at this stage of the fair) .

If someone remains absolutely faithful to his ideas is clear that it would refrain from intervening. But It's called being "dogmatic" and as such we have the extreme Christian martyrs "killed prior to renounce their faith."

Faced with the dogmatic, at the opposite extreme, there are the "pragmatic" or practical, as each prefers.

A priori'm in the question of whether someone who has done evil things and the business is going to ruin him, for nothing, "feels" ... but ... if the consequences of such mismanagement will affect the collective then ... what?

What about the employees of these companies in bankruptcy? What happens if there are failures in life? What happens to a country that is going to hell? Well, that the government jumps to the desperate to avoid a greater evil. Is not kept in a dogmatic position of non-intervention. For everything there is a first time. Everything has a limit. They are not going to say: "The country has gone to hell .... but we, true to the liberal market economy, not intervened "

Eye. The thing must not end there. The common good precedence to the individual situation of each bad manager.

Obviously, off the main fire, the cause must be investigated and, above all, be responsible and delineated responsibilities. And, of course, that those responsible are tried, convicted and, to the extent possible, disabled for life ..

I endorse them against the coletilla of Attila: "A degüello and no prisoners"

That ultimately the consequences that this whole matter can or could have, are global and not restricted to affect people of Oklahoma.

Sorry, I'm not in favor of the thing "before it dead simple." Trying to be something more practical.

Salu2

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# 2, Purification

September 19, 2008, at 9:32.

The People's Bank now rises more than 20%, and Pastor well over 10% ... something is coming?

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# 3, Mandy

September 19, 2008, at 9:33.

So with the agency rescue American .... When is the collapse of the dollar?
Today, instead of giving us an aspirin (liquidity), we have antibiotics (agency compramierda americana) have for 15 days).

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# 4, canyago

September 19, 2008, at 9:34.

Hello everybody.

I've days without writing, I read and read and no hint of knock by the succession of events that we are living and I try to soak all the information I receive, several times I have made the threats to write anything that round by my head, but it has been remained in the attempt, I recognize that my ability is being overwhelmed and I attend as a spectator to the expected fall of Economico world, as we knew it until now.

How many people are aware of the reality we are living? How many people know about the subprime problem? How many know who or what is the Euribor? I think of all those under 35 years, people who never experienced a situation Economic Crisis and all that it takes them back and say that for those under 25 ... ... let's say, 28 years ... ... used to pull Visa and lots of them to buy SEAT Leon GTI, right after receiving their first payroll, people who have been reared and suckling as Axiom indisputable, the Dolce Vita, the spending on credit, the enjoyment as the first standard of living and looking through the Happiness runaway consumerism, both got it, spending so much + + Visa credit for the car. And who is ... .... Ah yes !!!!!! Baby Boom generation and those Guateque, bought the first floor to pay interest at 16% in just 15 years and despite having lived through the days of "Tell" We climbed on the bandwagon of consumerism and ignoring the restraint and common sense , By the way "the least common sense" pay 30, 40 or 50 million a story that barely ten years ago, had a price of 10, 15 or 20 million and over we thought we were doing a big business, from duty to the bank 5 or perhaps 10 million to duty 30 or maybe 40 million, without realizing that we were falling into the maw of the banks.

As of today no longer think of anything that serves to lower rates by the ECB, which clearly demonstrated that despite the almost absolute certainty, that will have no choice but to do so, the Euribor, not only has not fallen This rebound upwards and I fear it will rise more and I see clearly that there are no solutions, no one can mitigate what is happening, it's like a giant wheel that once put in motion, the mere inertia makes it impossible that nobody can stop it.
Now in USA and next year in Spain, I see the development of the subprime crisis in USA and as the script is being repeated in Spain with a year late. As it began rising in the Late payments, the first at 2% to 4% then and now to 8% and as a starting here from less than 0.50% (we are nothing at all) today, the Bank of Spain wakes us with the information chilling of 2.14% (many entities have already passed and far) will soon Delinquency at 4% and I fear that next year we will see about 8% and all of that despite the makeup of the recommendations no longer run the Mortgage until 6 months of default.

Solutions ... .. I think not, but what if I have clear is that far more is to prolong the agony, the worse it will pass, but it will be the long and bloody journey that awaits us through the desert Economic,

Greetings to everyone and forgiveness for billet, but had to off.

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# 5, Sephyrot

September 19, 2008, at 9:37.

Hello everybody,

Yesterday we asked Fyahball was glad because some rejoice in this crisis "apocalyptic". I give my opinion:

The BASE of the housing problem: greed.

- The Hay-Untamientos in the latest offshoot of the central government which is funded almost entirely on the margins added to the 16% tax on the sale of an apartment so they have a major interest to be sold and purchased floors. The more the better, more money in their coffers.
- The builders have increased their margin as a result of banks have increased the price elasticity of housing. They think: If you go up the floors and people continued buying is that they can climb further.
- Banks are in a race to attract customers have been given obscene amounts to a lot of years with a variable interest. The variable is a double-edged sword that can benefit one day and the other end turns against you because you.
- The ordinary people who thought: "This never low," "It's a good investment", etc ... that have gotten into the mouth of the wolf to follow the precepts of the Banking, pasapiseros and builders like sheep.

The CONSEQUENCES:

- A generation embargoed until Trancas without the possibility of investing in business or anything else other than your mortgage.
- The suffering of thousands of families with water up to her neck for not being able to cope with the debts.
- Those responsible for the crisis by holding their previous benefits without any liability if sent to companies to tender for creditors.
- Politicians continue combining his political office with their own business or family.
- Aid from the state to the builders (ICO credits).
- A market with prices misaligned traumatic way for normalization of ordinary people. For politicians / businessmen is the repanplinfa.

The BASE of the problem of oil: greed.

The countries that sell the "black gold" want more and more benefits because they say that was just something that anybody can check.

The CONSEQUENCES:

- Countries attacked in the name of freedom.
- Savings uncontrolled inflation caused by increases in raw materials.

So we can continue with the speculation of raw materials, technology bubbles, etc .... but the common factor in all this is greed, so when a bubble explodes and is carried forward so many people are happy because they are some speculators who have contributed to the disaster. We are also pleased that these tragedies happen, because even if indirectly affect us, people learn a lesson we must not forget, as well as:
- Do not buy at any price.
- The bank is the enemy.
- The variable interest is a double-edged sword.

Greetings.

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# 6, UNOCUALQUIERA

September 19, 2008, at 9:39.

This is "simply" economics fiction, it is clear that the worst is yet to come. What's Santander and other banks is real or is a flight forward, to avoid being caught hurricanes in the U.S. that are constant in real sense so much as figuratively.

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# 7, www.aedru.org

September 19, 2008, at 9:45.

What is happening is that the financial systems of countries "PEG" are not those responsible for this financial crisis, in contrast, are affected by the errors of others.

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# 8, danika

September 19, 2008, at 9:46.

It seems that Uncle Sam is beginning to make effective treatment against ticks and lice. If that is a Surface dolarines assets with no pest that it resists "everything is clean and disinfect."

It seems that sharks have finally decided to start Zampa fish wounded two cheeks, often feast are hitting in the bag. Let's see if we can reach 14,000 before the end of the year already beginning to be Arto arrived at my house every day and crying with stomach acidity.

A greeting and thanks to those who have created this page and all those who make comments and to read.

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# 9, Ludomar

September 19, 2008, at 9:48.

Srs. Forget the bag that this is historic for many rebounds and q being has no choice but this .... I would remind you that the bag despite having fallen from 16,000 (in the case of ibex) is still 100% with respect to profit Minimum 2002-2003 at around 5500 points in the ibex, so eye parecce obvious to me that this crisis is rather more serious of the q. com and is only the beginning ... ..!!!

SalU2

Ludo

Q you stolen PD not on the floor

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# 10, Jorge76

September 19, 2008, at 9:49.

# 1, Mano H20

I enjoyed your example. If the states do not intervene from time to time, not only run the risk that the economy will go adrift, but it happens entirely from any political and social us to become robots for the sake of profit and productivity.

# 4, canyago

I think we all agree that for many buildings are paid well over what it worth, but also wrote in this blog that people can not become independent, and can not be left at home with parents until they die.

The problem is no doubt at all those who were not saved room for the moment when this happens. Perhaps at the time who was able to allow a floor of 30 kilograms could have been more cautious and bought a 20. And not just the world for 30 m2 less.

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# 11, yomismo33

September 19, 2008, at 9:51.

Good morning, everyone.

Good thinking mañoH2O.

The trileros of finance at the international level, hide their balls in the eyes of all politicians and (it seems) in particular.
Those, which inject money we do not know (surely one another) in what black holes, very black, eventually disappear.
Meanwhile, injections of cyanide meticulously delivered, we apply them to everyone in the form of differential rates, the Euribor unleashed, a taste for vampires and financial speculators for the crisis.
The rules of the game changed with bets on the table.
¿Rebellion already! of the masses?.

Greetings.

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# 12, Bardem humble

September 19, 2008, at 9:53.

pretoleo and now that has fallen by 35%, rectified the rise of transport in Madrid which occurred in August unreasonably?
Scoundrel
Os burned buses and offices and buy a bike for me to hear Curran, who I'm thinking, really.

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# 13, Fran

September 19, 2008, at 9:54.

I bring up hundreds of post Euribor up up and competition for a few months ago of "The Euribor is going to put the 6 and then at 7 and end at 10 and fuck you going to die." To all those bitter expertillos. You must realize that the financial system is falling down and the Euribor was at 5.4? Really persistís at 10? I think we ought to start going to the psychologist to cure your frustrations

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# 14, juanjix

September 19, 2008, at 9:54.

The speculation is over, the message is clear. No we are going to drop. The system will continue because the system is not going to kill myself. From here discuss whether this is good or bad. What have we got to know is whether we are at the beginning of the end or just the end of the beginning. Think that's what first. Greetings

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# 15, Lopez juanfer

September 19, 2008, at 9:55.

# 4, canyago possibly have more reason than a saint, anyway I hope not and if you match that affect (positively for the mortgage) to a hypothetical drop in the Euribor rates by the ECB ... for the account that brings us to I want to continue living as a marquis :)

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# 16, Sto Tomas

September 19, 2008, at 9:59.

Trust, confidence, confidence ...
Do you remember the story of the Cat in Boots? The son of a miller hoped the cat and became Marques, but that only happens in fairy tales. In reality applies the saying "confident of live cats." This last story is applied by Booty.

Greetings

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# 17, Colonel Perote

September 19, 2008, at 10:01.

# 5, Sephyrot

Please do not speak of builders but promoters. The construction companies are not responsible for the rise in housing prices. They have won money, of course, since much has been built, but construction prices have been maintained. Now we are paying because the whole recruitment of manpower for the construction had to lay off. This is even more serious if one considers that the recruitment of public works (roads, railways, etc.). Dropper comes with, especially in Madrid, which upon completion of the M30 has not been hired almost nothing.
There are builders who are also promoters, but the majority, who are curious, know them all: Sacyr-Vallehermoso, Martins-Fadesa ...

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# 18, V. Gerulaitis

September 19, 2008, at 10:04.

Hello.
I do not know what you look like you but when I hear some analistos say that these adjustments were necessary and that we must let the system do its work and that leaves everyone in place and that good, which is already less for the process is finished, etc, etc, etc. Me at tio recueda which is falling by a chasm that has been running a few miles of fall and begins to see the bottom, instead of thinking about the clout that is going to happen, he thought: "Well, since we are coming, How nice! ".

Salu2.

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# 19, oreidubic

September 19, 2008, at 10:04.

I am negotiating with banks and there is a significant generational difference ... come with many young boys and the management companies that are pure messengers of processes with a multitude of barriers and making the decision is quite a step above them.

On the other hand when they come managers of companies of a certain seniority (50 years, we already know that more than 60 banks are the only presidents ..) the descisión is more agile and, theoretically, more aggressive.

Why? Because seniority is a degree and you know the cycles of the economy and can read between the lines, leaving the famous rating from one side.

The problem is that there have been years of show (the eprros is tied with sausage) and small boxes and banks have launched major expansions (proportionally) because the volume of transactions it stand around. Now that everything returns to normal, is that with the volume of transactions "real" (price X number of operations). And comes the difficult for the management of the crisis ... a small box Catalan asks me to renew a policy of spending 1.7% of the management and I am reduced to 6 months !!!!!!! ...

In this way the ralentalización will become more apparent risk ... 0 ... for there is not against large entities have more easily and let you work ...

At the end because there is a understands that banks have become major banks and that will always be mountains of piety dresses brokers ...

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# 20, fyahball

September 19, 2008, at 10:06.

# 5, Sephyrot

plas, plas, plas
Congratulations for the post estimated Sephyrot: you can say the highest, but no more clear ...
--
But let us act as another example of speculators.

News: According to the FAO hunger increases: the undernourished are already 923 million (DNA Journal)

According to Carlos Gail Intermon Oxfam (and I do not salteis the jugular with the fact that these NGOs and other stolen, the data creámonos):


With 14,000 million dollars investment needed by developing countries to revitalize its agriculture. West must assume its responsibility. The EU and USA have shown they know to act before crisis seriously, as the current financial. You only need 14,000 million dollars, a few days ago there was talk of 85,000 to save a large U.S. insurer.

Speaking on silver: we care little to alleviate hunger in the world, as concerned as to help capitalistic gangsters ... what it takes!

Recall that the increase in malnutrition has to do with rising food prices ... and this is directly linked to the speculators of them: the same crap as always: monopolize the market for foods eg wheat and are expected to increase the price and demand for sale with wrecks inflated ...

BURN DEM FILTHY WAYS! FIA BURN!

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# 21, bloval

September 19, 2008, at 10:14.

An excellent job the "summary" of today but that may have to change the title because there are so many issues and have that much "chichi" in addition to the recurring theme of movements in securities that comment would be required even for half an hour at least.

I agree that it remains the key issue real estate

And according to the above has said that we do not fiemos of the stock market rebounds, one thing is that this slow punishing those who sell Hitting the side (something unheard) and another who is actually interested in buying.

I think these minimum yesterday may take a few days ... until the results season.

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# 22, funcionator

September 19, 2008, at 10:16.

H20 size,

in spite of you, as almost always, excellent presentation I profoundly disagree with one essential point:

"What breaks the theory of market economy? What bankruptcy purest principles of liberalism? I do not think so. Neither am I so sure.
A special situations, special solutions. A desperate, desperate solutions. "

Completely breaks the principles of neoliberalism that began in the 80s and certainly the Liberal Party which was much more radical in their time.

This is a special situation, but no time or temporary, but the result of a long history of excessiveness.

For my part I quite agree, from my limited perspective, with the performance of public institutions, precisely for the reasons given are that well, neither more nor less. Sometimes it is reasonable to quarrel with the visceral and we must accept that we are going to do.

But the most important thing is to learn the lesson, and it is to assume that economic theories mentioned that basically that markets and their agents do that to you do not work and lead to disasters with grave consequences, and the worst For people who have had to do it, and throughout the world.

Personally, I feel responsible, among others, to Mr. Greenspan (by its rate policy that sowed the beginning of this policy) and irresponsible management of financial institutions in the U.S. of those 300 or 400 euros others that my wife and I have to face each months thanks to the little gift of subprime and the consequent High Euribor. They are very agustito right now with many, many millions of $ in the current account and thus all this, let us be realistic, it slips.

And do not forget that our case is that of comparatively privileged few, we are not unemployed and in my personal case is very difficult. Although if my wife is going to be the thing he is equally ugly.

Ultimately this can not be repeated. There has to be very thoughtful legal rules to be effective, but do not pose an excessive burden. You can not have this vulnerability to the economic system itself and especially for the rest of mortals. If not, then again in spite sooner or later, once these events are far enough for a return to be irresponsible, confident and start the cycle of avariacia and then another trastazo to pay the other the disaster while those responsible would following from his television of 50 "on the news with a caipirinha in hand.

If not, as well.

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# 23, Enculator

September 19, 2008, at 10:19.

What a crisis that neither hell ????? Look joy bags!! HAPPINESS!!

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# 24, How easy it is to talk and blame ..

September 19, 2008, at 10:20.

This goes for all that s @ s criticáis that both those who buy homes 2 or 3 years and you alegráis of the misfortunes of others.
3 years ago, the low interest yes (to 2.8 storeys high lords !!!), yes, the rents were leaving by the same letter that the floor-to-month. Many did calculations that raise the interest (up to 4 points in my case) and we are almost there. Not everyone has "the house of folks to be able to expect that all this exploded.
Niñatos.

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# 25, droblo

September 19, 2008, at 10:21.

MEFF has just announced that climbs the guarantees required by 10%. Curious, the central banks will require less to the banks to lend money but houses acting to the volatility ecigen more on individuals.

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# 26, jdx

September 19, 2008, at 10:22.

if the diesel fuel now getting back to 1EUR .... probably something in principle, truck drivers face, prices go down? wanting to follow all the advantages they wanted the day of the strike?
others who benefit most are going to come out yet.
# 5, Sephyrot
Your very good post!

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# 27, Alfredo

September 19, 2008, at 10:23.

Come to a structural change in the market, just as it was, to see if they want to realize the above at once. Wanting to keep the current model, even before that fill the belly, is as sweeping in the desert. You leave businesses in ruins everywhere.

PP and PSOE nor nor anybody else, that there are those who do not fix it, is a change to hammering.

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# 28, you see

September 19, 2008, at 10:27.

# 26 jdx

you see, every reason in the world, here goes wrong when all is going well and when we mourn their hands in the pockets and look the other way whistling disguised. If the commercial margins were the "correct" and will not be abused so choriceo committee and another rooster sing.

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# 29, new

September 19, 2008, at 10:28.

Good morning, today the Euribor will give us those mortgaged a joy to go down and 0.2, do a baton?

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# 30, canyago

September 19, 2008, at 10:37.

Hello everybody.

# 29, new

A breath of fresh air in the cloudy morning, how long without reading comments like that.

Just kidding, I hope you get your joy today, and tomorrow will be.

Greetings to all.

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# 31, JAC

September 19, 2008, at 10:39.

# 29, new
There goes my bets for the baton
I say "low" to the 5.402

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# 32, must be joderse with parasites that we insult to those who have purchased

September 19, 2008, at 10:40.

At the arsonist and similar gentuza:

TRANQUILITY, who like you a half of these can have a floor where live and let your commune.

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# 33, Solbes ruin zp

September 19, 2008, at 10:41.

has risen from 5.24% in a few days, q means we are going to squeeze more ??????

Type Stable

The fixed rate will then apply for 3 years
your mortgage at ING DIRECT if you hire today
Type Stable.

Rated current fixed rate on 19-September-2008:
5.492%

The PD is Clopez q first message since yesterday and I am writing it jumps from "escribiendodemasiados these comments ... a bit of calm .."
if a fault. thanks for your site, follow the daily. a greeting

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# 34, juanjix

September 19, 2008, at 10:45.

20 fyahball
For once, and without a precedent that I agree with the comment, and I feel very smart comparison and the opportunity to bring it up, but I fear that I am a skeptic and what was raised in the commentary is as old as human being. Does not mean that it is well done and that is good, but the first world and their cars and the system in definitva has always been and will be more important than the third world with their problems. Although it is demeaning, has always been and always will be.

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# 35, new

September 19, 2008, at 10:57.

I say you, but if I have the Euribor + 0.60 and ingdirect to offer a fixed rate at 5.49 is a plum, have not you?

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# 36, spain ruin Solbes zp

September 19, 2008, at 11:00.

looks like a plum. but the pub is give q q 3 years at that price, then that? lodicen not. scare me

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# 37, RVM

September 19, 2008, at 11:02.

Very interesting Droblo weekly commentary. Very comprehensive and good selection of links to deepen in some subjects.
Lately, and especially in recent days, we see very high volatility in the markets. Agarrense, which are curves! And today is the quarterly expiration of futures and options in Europe and Usa, so that the movements may be somewhat more defendants for this reason.
Greetings to all.

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# 38, Carreter

September 19, 2008, at 11:03.

If you say so many comments that are read here, much of the blame has been greed, and sell hundreds of times the same package tiulaciones real estate, as well as speculation in the futures market for raw materials like oil , Rice otrigo,
Why nobody has thought about the Tobin tax as a possible measure to contain the excessive and unbridled irrational? What is going to raise it now?
What do you think about it?

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# 39, spain ruin Solbes zp

September 19, 2008, at 11:05.

5 best values of the ibex, 5 banks.

although there is already a valosr in negative Grifols. this mean q volvera calm after the storm? tumble the electric?
down at the end of the day? q happened on Wall Street?

now rises to 6%, the 2nd ascent of the year, after the first had been many bad

Barclays has been climbing by 60%, SI, SI 60%.

This is insane.

reading is that we raise the Euribor ?????? wait a few minutes to see what makes us great

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# 40, JAC

September 19, 2008, at 11:05.

# 35, new
Today, if it looks like a plum, but are expected decreases in rates for the 1st quarter of 2009, also is expected to mistrust the bank makes the difference between 4.25 and 5.39 of the ECB's Euribor is huge; thus:

At 6 months it is possible to see the ECB rate to 3.75% and the Euribor at 4.25% and you (with your current revision, with a mortgage at 4.85%) and ING with a 5.49% for three years.

It is a hypothesis that, personally, am the closest to the postulate that the apocalyptic of 6.7% or more.

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# 41, fyahball

September 19, 2008, at 11:06.

Morgan Stanley seeks fresh money from the Chinese government crisis

http://www.elpais.com/articulo/economia/Morgan/Stanley/busca/dinero/fresco/Gobierno/chino/frente/crisis/elpepueco/20080919elpepieco_4/Tes

The second investment bank in the U.S. would consider putting up to 49% of its capital in the hands of China Investment Corp (CIC), the financial arm of the Chinese government, but not assign control, in exchange for a strong injection of funds.

As you're watching, the USA is now geared to socialization and intervention, scrupulously following the dictates communists, and if I apurais, revolutionaries ... and of course, looking for allies among the communists ... (remember that the Chinese government is the Party Communist.)
On the other hand, and we see that the Chinese want to start well, from the inside, his assault on the world economic supremacy.

FYAH DA HYPOCRITS BURN!

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# 42, Attila, King of the year

September 19, 2008, at 11:10.

Hi Hi neighbor!

# 1 Hand H2O,

I understand your way of thinking, but I see the incongruous. Continuing with the metaphor of the father, if my son falls through a window, try to save everything. But if my son grabs a hatchet and is dedicated to kill my other children, also will prevent it.

So far, the state, pro-free market, left to their children psychopaths act with total impunity. At certain moments until they have given away precious and useful axes. Now that you are not more brothers who kill, searching for more victims has fallen by a ravine. And when Dad is now the state is going to rescue his beloved son, making a rope with the innards of their other children ...

Many of the brothers of this favorite son wanted to be like him, and agreed to buy axes to be as good predators like him. What we have been unable to understand is that the axes who bought (zulitos 40 meters) have left them extremely expensive, are tied to his neck from a rope, and that they may not kill anybody, because they are made of plastic.

With this text I have been gone a bit out of hand toward the gore, I say to the prodigal son: "sorry that you've not killed," the state Dad: "I hope your leaders will also fall by the ravine," and those babies who also wanted to be weak predators: "I see pain, a lot of pain ..."

It will be a degüello and without prisoners, for borrregazzos, greedy and illiterate

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# 43, JAC

September 19, 2008, at 11:11.

# 38, Carreter

I do not think that 0.1% rate, stop to the speculators, the good news is that with the hypothetical 720,000 million dollars of revenue, if "bienempleasen" could alleviate many of the problems commented Fyahball using only A small percentage of them.

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# 44, Resignao

September 19, 2008, at 11:14.

Gentlemen, we will not like this:

There are people who are in pisitos by a million, but we wanted to take our house, not speculate.

We are seeing the Canuto, but this is detrimental to all. This is like the ACUNA matata the lion king. We are all within the same cycle, and we are already rented or mortgaged, when no work, do not be to anyone.

Come gentlemen, tighten your teeth and all we can resist as best we give our head. Adaptemonos to work on what comes out, that's what our parents did, or is it because we forget that they also went wrong? Let's take coj.nes

The next decade will be a little better, and fortunately or unfortunately, most of whom we met here we live by.

Relativize a little, that every day there are people who are dying of hunger, cancer, malaria, yellow fever and other diseases, and they care a hell bankruptcy stock.

Relativize. And if we can not carry the train of life we have, because ADAPTING touch.

In truth, much encouragement to all those faces and lift, which will have time to throw in the towel.

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# 45, js

September 19, 2008, at 11:14.

Bonita "downhill" ;-) (ayy, how much suffering I see on my meat)

Euribor 19/9/2008 5.410 +0.446%

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# 46, JAC

September 19, 2008